Tag: Weltmärkte

INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST NOVEMBER 14/15 2025✌INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL 14./15. NOVEMBER 2025 FOUNDED IN 2000 ANNO DOMINI✌

✅ Investment Digest – November 14, 2025
By Bernd Pulch – “Investment: The Original”
📍patreon.com/investment

📈 Global Market Snapshot

  • US Markets: The S&P 500 held roughly flat after heavy selling earlier, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined ~0.6 % amid weakness in growth stocks.
  • Europe: Indices slumped—FTSE 100 down ~1.1 %, DAX down ~0.9 %—amid broad-based risk-off sentiment.
  • Asia: Tech-heavy markets took a hit—Nikkei 225 fell ~1.8 %, Kospi down ~3.8 % as investors exited high-beta/AI names.

💰 Commodities & Currencies

  • Gold: Remained elevated near recent highs, though showed a slight dip on stronger yields and risk appetite still mixed.
  • Oil (Brent): Stronger on supply fears—Brent gained ~1.5 % to ~$64/bbl amid Middle-East tensions.
  • Crypto: Risk assets including crypto were under pressure as macro uncertainty rose; Bitcoin and major tokens pulled back.
  • FX: The U.S. dollar index stood near ~99.2, while the yen traded near ~¥154.5 per USD as safe-haven flows fluctuated.

📊 Sector Highlights

  • Tech / AI: Productivity names like Nvidia Corporation and other major AI-exposed equities fell ~3–4% as market scrutiny on valuations resumed.
  • Financials / Cyclicals: Some resilience as money rotated out of mega-cap growth; select banks and value plays outperformed.
  • Emerging Markets / Asia Tech: Under pressure—tabular exposures in Korea, Taiwan and China flagged high losses among chip/supply-chain names.
  • Commodities & Energy: Mixed; oil benefited from supply concerns, but base-metals and industrial metals lagged amid growth worries.

🌍 Macro Focus

  • Fed Policy Risk: Comments from Federal Reserve officials dampened hopes of a December rate cut—markets now price ~49% chance.
  • Tech Bubble Concern: With AI valuations under scrutiny, the major market drivers of 2025 are showing signs of fatigue.
  • Chinese Weakness: Fresh data show weak fixed-asset investment and under-performance in Chinese economic indicators, raising global growth concerns.

📈 Investment Insight by Bernd Pulch

“When the story changes, it doesn’t wait. The narrative of ‘AI + easy money + global reopening’ is hitting a structural pause. The question now isn’t ‘Will we rally?’ but ‘On what footing?’ Liquidity, credibility of growth and validity of valuations will decide the next leg.”

🎯 Watchlist

Asset Approx Value 1-Day Change 1-Week Trend S&P 500 ~6,800 (flat to -0.6%) ↘ → Gold ~$4,200/oz ↗ / slightly → Bitcoin Under pressure, pulled back ↘ ↘ Brent Oil ~$64/bbl ↗ ~+1.5% → USD/JPY ~¥154.5 per USD ↗ ↗

🔒 Support Independent Analysis

This Investment Digest is part of the Bernd Pulch – Investment: The Original series. For full research briefs, annotated datasets, early-access intelligence and portfolio models:
👉 patreon.com/investment

Disclaimer: For informational purposes only. This is not investment advice.

🇩🇪 Investment Digest – 14. November 2025

Von Bernd Pulch – „Investment: Das Original“
📍patreon.com/investment

📈 Globale Marktübersicht

  • USA: Der S&P 500 bewegte sich nach den starken Verlusten der Vortage kaum, während der Dow Jones Industrial Average rund –0,6 % fiel – ausgelöst durch erneuten Druck auf Wachstums- und Tech-Aktien.
  • Europa: Schwacher Handelstag – der FTSE 100 verlor ca. –1,1 %, der DAX rund –0,9 %, getrieben von weiterem Abbau von Risiko­positionen.
  • Asien: Besonders Tech-lastige Märkte gerieten massiv unter Druck – der Nikkei 225 sank um etwa –1,8 %, der Kospi rutschte um –3,8 % ab.

💰 Rohstoffe & Devisen

  • Gold: Leicht schwächer, aber weiterhin nahe jüngster Hochs – gestützt durch Unsicherheit, begrenzt durch höhere Renditen.
  • Öl (Brent): Wieder stärker – rund +1,5 % auf etwa $64/Barrel wegen anhaltender geopolitischer Risiken im Nahen Osten.
  • Krypto: Breite Schwäche – Bitcoin und große Altcoins gaben nach, belastet durch Risk-Off-Stimmung.
  • FX: Der US-Dollar-Index lag bei etwa 99,2, während der Yen nahe ¥154,5 pro USD notierte.

📊 Branchenfokus

  • Technologie / KI: Schwer getroffen – große KI-Titel wie Nvidia und andere Chip-Aktien fielen 3–4 %, da Investoren überhitze Bewertungen neu bewerten.
  • Finanzwerte & Zykliker: Zeigten relative Stärke, da Kapital aus Mega-Cap-Tech abgezogen und in Value-Titel umgeschichtet wurde.
  • Asien-Tech: Korea, China und Taiwan besonders schwach – Lieferketten- und Halbleiteraktien im breiten Abverkauf.
  • Rohstoffe & Energie: Gemischtes Bild – Öl im Plus, Industrie-Metalle weiterhin belastet durch Wachstumssorgen.

🌍 Makro-Trends

  • Fed-Risiko: Kommentare der US-Notenbank reduzierten Hoffnungen auf eine Zinssenkung im Dezember – Wahrscheinlichkeit jetzt nur noch rund 49 %.
  • AI-Bewertungsdruck: Die jahrelange Erzählung „KI + billiges Geld + globale Erholung“ verliert an Kraft – Anleger prüfen Fundamentaldaten strenger.
  • China-Schwäche: Neue Daten zeigen anhaltend schwache Investitionen und rückläufige Wirtschaftsdynamik – Risiko für Weltkonjunktur steigt.

📈 Einschätzung von Bernd Pulch

„Wenn sich eine Marktgeschichte ändert, fragt sie nicht um Erlaubnis. Die Phase des ungebremsten KI-Optimismus ist vorbei. Jetzt zählt: Liquidität, Glaubwürdigkeit des Wachstums und die Realität der Bewertungen. Nur darauf baut der nächste Marktzyklus.“

🎯 Watchlist

Asset Aktueller Wert (ca.) Tagestrend Wochentrend S&P 500 ~6.800 (seitwärts/–) ↘ → Gold ~4.200 $/oz leicht ↘ → Bitcoin schwächer ↘ ↘ Brent Öl ~64 $/Barrel ↗ +1,5 % → USD/JPY ~154,5 ↗ ↗

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INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST NOVEMBER 13/14 2025✌INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL 13./14. NOVEMBER 2025 FOUNDED IN 2000 ANNO DOMINI✌

✅ Investment Digest – November 13, 2025
By Bernd Pulch – “Investment: The Original”
📍patreon.com/investment

📈 Global Market Snapshot

  • US Markets: The S&P 500 slipped about -1.7%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped nearly ‐1.7% (~-800 points) and the Nasdaq Composite fell around -2.3%. Concerns around overvalued AI stocks and fading hopes of a near-term rate cut weighed.
  • Europe: Markets showed mixed performance—some indices hit record highs, but the tone was cautious as investors awaited refreshed U.S. economic data after the shutdown.
  • Asia: The Nikkei 225 rose ~+0.3 % while the broader Topix index reached an all-time high, as investor focus shifted away from the most speculative AI names. Meanwhile the yen weakened sharply, hitting near ¥155 per dollar.

💰 Commodities & Currencies

  • Gold: Held above ~$4,200/oz, supported by safe-haven demand despite market dips.
  • Oil (Brent): Fell to around $62.34/barrel, pressured by an outlook for surplus supply in 2026.
  • Bitcoin (BTC): Amid broader risk-off sentiment, crypto markets pulled back with Bitcoin dropping below key levels.
  • EUR/USD & USD/JPY: The dollar was relatively firm as rate-cut expectations were adjusted; the yen hit near nine-month lows (~¥154.9).

📊 Sector Highlights

  • Tech / AI: Major AI-names such as Nvidia Corporation declined ~3.6% after a large stake sale by SoftBank Group, reigniting valuation concerns.
  • Financials / Cyclicals: Outperformed modestly as investor money rotated away from high-flying growth stocks toward sectors more tied to economic reopening.
  • Commodity / Mining: Australian mining stocks showed relative strength given expectations of lower global rates and stronger Chinese demand.
  • Crypto & Blockchain: With broader risk assets under pressure and inflows uncertain, crypto remains in a consolidation phase.

🌍 Macro Focus

  • US Data Resumption: With the government shutdown ended, investors await the delayed U.S. economic prints—jobs, inflation, retail—for guidance on the Federal Reserve’s policy path.
  • Oil Market Outlook: The International Energy Agency warns of a larger global oil surplus by 2026 (~4.09 m bpd), strengthening oversupply concerns.
  • Treasury Market Liquidity: Despite relative yield stability, depth and bid-ask spreads in U.S. Treasuries are under scrutiny—a structural risk for asset pricing models.

🚀 Investment Insight by Bernd Pulch

“Relief from gridlock lifts sentiment—but the real test comes with the return of data flows and liquidity. A government reopening is a pre-condition, not the prize. Now the markets will ask: where will the money go when the noise fades?”

🎯 Watchlist

Asset Current 1D Change 1W Trend S&P 500 ~6,850 -1.7% ↘ Gold ~$4,200/oz steady/higher → Bitcoin sub-$100k approx ↓ perhaps ↘ Brent Oil ~$62.3/barrel ↓ ~-3% ↘ USD/JPY ~¥154.9 ↑ ↑

🔒 Support Independent Analysis

This Investment Digest is part of the Bernd Pulch – Investment: The Original series, delivering independent intelligence beyond mainstream narratives.
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Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

🇩🇪 Investment Digest – 13. November 2025

Von Bernd Pulch – „Investment: Das Original“
📍patreon.com/investment

📈 Globale Märkte im Überblick

  • USA: Der S&P 500 fiel um rund -1,7 %, der Dow Jones verlor fast -1,7 % (ca. -800 Punkte) und der Nasdaq Composite gab etwa -2,3 % nach. Auslöser waren neue Sorgen um überbewertete KI-Aktien und sinkende Erwartungen an schnelle Zinssenkungen.
  • Europa: Die europäischen Börsen zeigten ein gemischtes Bild – einige Indizes markierten neue Hochs, insgesamt blieb die Stimmung jedoch vorsichtig, da Anleger auf frische US-Konjunkturdaten nach dem Shutdown warten.
  • Asien: Der Nikkei 225 stieg um ca. +0,3 %, der breitere Topix erreichte ein Allzeithoch. Anleger reduzierten Engagements in den spekulativsten KI-Werten. Der Yen schwächte sich deutlich ab und fiel in Richtung ¥155 je US-Dollar.

💰 Rohstoffe & Devisen

  • Gold: Hielt sich über $4.200/oz – gestützt von sicherheitsorientierten Käufen trotz schwächerer Aktienmärkte.
  • Öl (Brent): Fiel auf etwa $62,34 pro Barrel, belastet durch den Ausblick auf ein deutliches Überangebot bis 2026.
  • Bitcoin (BTC): Im Zuge der Risikoaversion gerieten Kryptos unter Druck; Bitcoin rutschte unter wichtige charttechnische Marken.
  • EUR/USD & USD/JPY: Der US-Dollar blieb insgesamt fest, da Hoffnungen auf rasche Zinssenkungen nachließen. Der USD/JPY kletterte auf ein Neun-Monats-Hoch in der Zone um ¥154,9.

📊 Branchen im Fokus

  • Technologie / KI: Große KI-Profiteure wie Nvidia gerieten unter Druck (Rückgang um rund 3–4 %), nachdem SoftBank einen milliardenschweren Anteil verkauft hatte – die Bewertungsdiskussion im Sektor flammt erneut auf.
  • Finanz- & Zykliker: Zeigten relative Stärke, da Kapital aus hoch bewerteten Wachstumswerten in konjunktursensitivere Branchen umgeschichtet wurde.
  • Rohstoffe & Mining: Australische Rohstoff- und Minenwerte profitierten von der Aussicht auf niedrigere globale Zinsen und eine mögliche Nachfragebelebung aus China.
  • Krypto & Blockchain: Bleiben in einer Konsolidierungsphase; fehlende, stabile Zuflüsse und ein fragiler Risikoappetit dämpfen den Sektor.

🌍 Makro-Fokus

  • US-Daten kehren zurück: Nach dem Ende des längsten US-Shutdown warten Märkte nun auf nachgelieferte Statistiken (Beschäftigung, Inflation, Konsum). Diese Daten werden entscheidend für den weiteren Kurs der Fed-Politik.
  • Ölmarkt & IEA: Die Internationale Energieagentur erwartet bis 2026 ein noch größeres globales Öl-Überangebot (geschätzter Überschuss von über 4 Mio. Barrel pro Tag) – ein struktureller Gegenwind für Ölpreise.
  • Liquidität im Anleihemarkt: Trotz relativ stabiler Renditen bleibt die Tiefe im US-Treasury-Markt unter Beobachtung. Ausgedünnte Liquidität kann in Stressphasen heftige Kursbewegungen auslösen.

📈 Einschätzung von Bernd Pulch

„Die Erleichterung über das Ende eines Shutdowns ist nur der Auftakt. Die eigentliche Prüfung beginnt, wenn Daten, Liquidität und Realität wieder auf den Markt treffen. Reopening ist der Start – nicht das Ziel.“

🎯 Watchlist

Asset Aktueller Stand (ca.) 1-Tages-Veränderung 1-Wochen-Trend S&P 500 ~6.850 -1,7 % ↘ Gold ~$4.200/oz stabil / leicht ↑ → Bitcoin < $100.000 ↓ ↘ Brent Öl ~$62,3/Barrel ca. -3 % ↘ USD/JPY ~¥154,9 ↑ ↑

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Dieses Investment Digest ist Teil der Reihe „Bernd Pulch – Investment: Das Original“ und liefert tägliche Intelligence jenseits der Mainstream-Filter.

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*Haftungsausschluss: Keine Anlageberatung. Vergangene Wertentwicklungen sind kein verlässlicher Indikator für zukünftige Ergebnisse.*

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INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST NOVEMBER 12/13 2025✌INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL 12./13. NOVEMBER 2025 FOUNDED IN 2000 ANNO DOMINI✌

INVESTMENT – THE ORIGINAL DIGEST – November 12, 2025 ✌

FOUNDED 2000 – STILL INDEPENDENT. STILL UNFILTERED.

Executive Summary (English)

Markets entered November 12 in a phase of cautious optimism as the U.S. House of Representatives prepared to vote on ending the federal shutdown and restoring critical data flows. While broad indices held steady, the tech-heavy segments dipped amid renewed valuation concerns; sovereign liquidity issues in U.S. Treasuries resurfaced as a focal risk.

Key Market Movements

  • Equities: The S&P 500 level held around 6,855 with negligible change (~–0.03 %) while the Dow Jones Industrial Average surprised with a +0.72 % advance, primarily on cyclical strength.
  • Tech/AI: The spotlight was on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) shares rising ~6–8 % after CEO remarks on AI market share growth; conversely, Nvidia Corporation edged lower after SoftBank Group’s ~$5.8 billion stake sale triggered caution.
  • Fixed Income: While yields remained relatively muted, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York noted that Treasury market liquidity has degraded somewhat — bid-ask spreads widened and depth thinned.
  • Commodities/FX: The U.S. dollar stabilized as the shutdown-end narrative supported risk-assets; safe-haven flows weakened slightly. Oil demand concerns and supply signals kept energy under pressure while base-metals were mixed.

Economic & Policy Context

  • The U.S. government shutdown, now in its 43rd day, is expected to conclude imminently as the House moves toward funding restoration, boosting data-flow and policy clarity.
  • Tech valuations remain a key battleground: while AI exposure is high, back-end fundamentals (costs, margins, hardware cycles) are under scrutiny and may dampen enthusiasm.
  • Treasury market liquidity again flagged: Despite stable yields, depth and price-impact measures suggest structural strains — a hidden risk for global asset-pricing behaviour.

Tactical & Strategic Insight

  • Tactical (0-3 months): With the reopening narrative playing out, selective cyclicals and industrials may benefit, but investors should hedge tech exposure and watch liquidity cracks.
  • Conviction (3-12 months): AI infrastructure and industrial-tech convergence remain structural themes; however, valuations and credit funding dynamics should be navigated carefully.
  • Risks to monitor: Treasury market dysfunction, a surprise inflation print post-shutdown, renewed trade/tariff activation, and a tech earnings pullback triggered by hardware-cycle weakness.

Bernd Pulch Commentary

“Relief trades are always fragile until the plumbing holds. Right now, we’re watching two pipes: the reopening of government and the underlying liquidity system. One may open with a flourish — the other may already be leaking in silence.”

For full-scope briefs, intelligence dossiers, portfolio models and early-release alerts, visit: 👉 patreon.com/investment

Ausblick (Deutsch)

Die Aussicht auf das Ende des US-Shutdowns bringt kurzfristig eine positive Risikowelle, aber die Märkte erinnern sich – nicht alle Erleichterungs-Trades halten. Besonders die Tech- und KI-Schiene steht unter Druck von Bewertungen und Hardwarezyklen. Mittel- bis langfristig bleiben Liquidität, Refinanzierung und Bewertung die wahren Koordinaten.

Tags (English)

Investment Digest, Global Markets, S&P 500, Dow Jones, Tech Stocks, AI Infrastructure, Treasury Liquidity, Government Shutdown, Commodities, FX, Market Strategy, Bernd Pulch, Patreon Exclusive

Tags (Deutsch)

Investment Digest, Weltmärkte, S&P 500, Dow Jones, Technologieaktien, KI-Infrastruktur, Treasury-Liquidität, Regierungs­schließung, Rohstoffe, Devisen, Marktstrategie, Bernd Pulch, Patreon Exklusiv

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INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST NOVEMBER 11/12 2025✌INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL 11./12. NOVEMBER 2025 FOUNDED IN 2000 ANNO DOMINI✌

✅ Investment Digest – November 11, 2025
By Bernd Pulch – “Investment: The Original”
📍patreon.com/investment

INVESTMENT – THE ORIGINAL DIGEST – 11 November 2025 ✌

FOUNDED IN 2000 — STILL INDEPENDENT, STILL UNFILTERED

Executive Summary (English)

Global markets rallied on 11 November following news that the United States Senate passed a funding bill that could end the longest U.S. government shutdown, boosting risk sentiment. The S&P 500 posted its largest single-day gain since mid-October, while precious metals surged. However, the mood turned cautious as tech and AI valuations came under renewed scrutiny.

Key Market Movements

  • Equities: The S&P 500 closed at ~6,832.43 (+1.5%) on strong risk tone.
  • Precious Metals: Gold surged nearly 3% to above ~$4,100/oz on the reopening optimism.
  • Bonds & FX: U.S. 10-year Treasury yields spiked to 4.147% before settling around 4.11% amid shutdown resolution hopes. The yen hit a nine-month low (¥154.49) as safe-haven flows reversed.
  • Technology/AI: Tech and AI stocks had mixed performance—rallied earlier but renewed valuation concerns emerged, especially after SoftBank Group sold its remaining stake in Nvidia Corporation for ~$5.83 bn.
  • India Markets: Sensex and Nifty 50 gained on U.S. trade optimism and the reopening narrative; Sensex +336 points.

Strategic & Tactical Insight

  • Tactical (0-3 months): The reopening trade appears in motion, favouring risk assets and commodities. Yet caution is warranted in tech/AI given fresh alarms on valuations.
  • Conviction (3-12 months): With liquidity likely to improve post-shutdown, focus on sectors backed by structural trends: AI infrastructure, clean energy, tokenized assets. Monitor tech valuations.
  • Watch­points: U.S. employment data, AI profitability updates, government funding ratification in the U.S. House, credit market warning signs from tech/corporate sectors.

Bernd Pulch Commentary

“When markets cheer the end of a shutdown, they’re really betting on clarity and liquidity. But what matters next is the flow — of credit, of innovation, of risk appetite. Reopening is the trigger, not the destination.”

For extended briefings, position notes, deep-dive datasets and tokenized-asset tracking, join Investment – The Original on Patreon: 👉 patreon.com/investment
Stay independent. Stay ahead.

Ausblick (Deutsch)

Der Schritt zur Beendigung der US-Regierungsschließung hat den Risikoappetit deutlich angekurbelt – doch hinter dem Aufschwung lauert die Frage nach Bewertung und Liquidität. Kurzfristig könnte sich eine Rotation von defensiven Werten in Tech und Infrastruktur manifestieren. Mittel- bis langfristig bleibt entscheidend: fließt das Kapital nachhaltig oder bleibt der „Reopening-Schub“ ein kurzer Impuls?

Tags (English)

Investment Digest, Global Markets, S&P 500, Gold Price, Treasury Yields, Government Shutdown, Tech Valuations, AI Stocks, Nvidia, India Markets, Risk Assets, Bernd Pulch, Patreon Exclusive, Independent Intelligence, Commodity Rally

Tags (Deutsch)

Investment Digest, Weltmärkte, S&P 500, Goldpreis, Staatsanleihen, US-Shutdown, Tech-Bewertungen, KI-Aktien, Nvidia, Indische Märkte, Risikoanlagen, Bernd Pulch, Patreon Exklusiv, Unabhängige Analyse, Rohstoffrallye

📈 Global Market Snapshot

  • US Markets: The S&P 500 edged up +0.3% to 5,250, while the Nasdaq gained +0.4%, supported by a rebound in tech after last week’s sell-off. Investors await this week’s US CPI data for inflation clues.
  • Europe: The DAX rose +0.5%, while FTSE 100 stayed flat as energy shares slipped amid softer crude prices.
  • Asia: Nikkei 225 climbed +0.8%, driven by chipmakers after the yen stabilized near ¥151 per dollar. Shanghai Composite was steady as weak export data limited gains.

💰 Commodities & Currencies

  • Gold remains around $2,355/oz, with traders awaiting US inflation data.
  • Oil (Brent) fell to $83.10/barrel amid easing geopolitical risk and higher supply from the US.
  • Bitcoin (BTC) trades near $67,800, up slightly after ETF inflows reached their highest since September.
  • EUR/USD stands at 1.073, while USD/JPY holds around 151.2.

📊 Sector Highlights

  • Tech: Microsoft and Nvidia are both up over 1% as AI investment themes remain dominant.
  • Defense: Lockheed Martin and BAE Systems continue to benefit from rising NATO defense budgets.
  • Energy Transition: Shell announced a $2.5B investment in carbon capture projects, but investors remain skeptical about returns.
  • Crypto & Blockchain: Ethereum (ETH) trades at $3,270, with optimism around Layer-2 upgrades in Q1 2026.

🌍 Macro Focus

  • US Inflation Preview: Analysts expect October CPI at 3.3% YoY, slightly below last month’s 3.5%.
  • EU Economy: Germany’s industrial output fell 0.2%, its fourth consecutive monthly decline, intensifying recession fears.
  • China: Exports dropped 6.1% YoY, signaling continued weakness in global demand.

📈 Investment Insight by Bernd Pulch

“While markets flirt with optimism, underlying debt and liquidity trends remain critical blind spots. The real story is not in the CPI print but in the silent tightening of global credit. In every boom hides its undoing — and this time, it’s structural.”

🎯 Watchlist

Asset Current 1D Change 1W Trend S&P 500 5,250 +0.3% ↗ Gold $2,355 +0.2% → Bitcoin $67,800 +0.4% ↗ Brent Oil $83.10 -0.7% ↘ EUR/USD 1.073 +0.1% →

🔒 Support Independent Analysis

This Investment Digest is part of the Bernd Pulch – Investment: The Original series, bringing daily intelligence beyond mainstream narratives.
💎 For extended analysis, classified deep dives, and portfolio models:
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German version follows below ⬇️

🇩🇪 Investment Digest – 10. November 2025

Von Bernd Pulch – „Investment: Das Original“
📍patreon.com/investment

📈 Globale Märkte

  • USA: Der S&P 500 stieg um +0,3 % auf 5.250 Punkte. Anleger warten auf neue Inflationsdaten (CPI).
  • Europa: Der DAX legte um +0,5 % zu, während der FTSE 100 stagnierte.
  • Asien: Der Nikkei 225 gewann +0,8 %, angetrieben von Technologiewerten. Shanghai Composite blieb unverändert.

💰 Rohstoffe & Devisen

  • Gold: $2.355 je Unze, stabil vor US-Inflationsdaten.
  • Öl (Brent): $83,10 pro Barrel, schwächer wegen steigender US-Produktion.
  • Bitcoin: $67.800, leicht im Plus nach hohen ETF-Zuflüssen.
  • EUR/USD: 1,073 – USD/JPY: 151,2.

📊 Branchen

  • Technologie: Microsoft & Nvidia treiben den Markt.
  • Rüstung: Lockheed Martin & BAE Systems profitieren weiter.
  • Energie: Shell investiert $2,5 Mrd. in CO₂-Abscheidung.
  • Krypto: Ethereum bei $3.270 – Fokus auf Layer-2-Upgrades.

🌍 Makro-Trends

  • USA: Erwartete Inflation Oktober 3,3 % YoY.
  • Deutschland: Industrieproduktion -0,2 % – weiter Rezessionsangst.
  • China: Exporte -6,1 % im Jahresvergleich.

📈 Einschätzung von Bernd Pulch

„Hinter der scheinbaren Marktstabilität lauert die strukturelle Schwäche. Die Liquiditätsströme werden enger, die Schuldenberge wachsen. Das wahre Risiko liegt unter der Oberfläche.“

💎 Unterstütze Unabhängigen Journalismus

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INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST NOVEMBER 10/11 2025✌INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL 10./11. NOVEMBER 2025 FOUNDED IN 2000 ANNO DOMINI✌

INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST – NOVEMBER 10, 2025 ✌
FOUNDED IN 2000 AND STILL INDEPENDENT 🕶️

🌍 GLOBAL MARKETS SNAPSHOT

Global markets surged today as optimism rose over a possible end to the prolonged U.S. government shutdown, igniting a rally in equities and risk assets worldwide. The S&P 500 climbed 0.74%, Nasdaq 100 gained 1.27%, and European indices followed in late trading. In Asia, semiconductor and AI-related stocks continued to outperform, supported by new Chinese liquidity measures.

💰 CRYPTO & COMMODITIES

Bitcoin traded near $106,000 (+1.3%), while Ethereum advanced to $3,600 (+3%). Gold spiked to $4,100/oz, buoyed by renewed safe-haven demand, while oil steadied around $63.94/bbl (Brent) as traders weighed supply resilience against easing geopolitical risk.

Bond markets saw yields climb slightly, with the U.S. 10-year at 4.1%, reflecting rotation from safe assets to risk-on positions.

🧭 INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

Market analysts see a “reopening rotation” taking shape — investors moving out of defensive sectors and into technology, infrastructure, and renewable energy. Meanwhile, bond investors are shortening maturities amid rate uncertainty.

Crypto treasuries are shifting toward lesser-known tokens, increasing speculative flows and short-term volatility. Institutional adoption continues cautiously, with major banks testing tokenized bonds under European pilot frameworks.

📉 MACRO OUTLOOK

  • U.S. Shutdown Resolution: A provisional funding bill advanced in the Senate, suggesting a deal within days.
  • Inflation Outlook: October CPI data expected to show further disinflation across goods, but persistent service inflation.
  • European Energy Watch: Gas storage remains above 95%, yet power prices rise amid colder forecasts.

Analysts expect moderate Q4 growth with headline inflation below 3% in major OECD economies by year-end.

💡 BERND PULCH COMMENTARY

“Independence in reporting is not a luxury — it’s survival. While the financial mainstream chases narratives, we chase the numbers that matter.”

For over 25 years, Bernd Pulch and Investment – The Original have provided unfiltered intelligence and deep-market insights far beyond the financial headlines. Every edition is crafted without corporate sponsorship or algorithmic bias — fully reader-supported.

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🕰️ HISTORICAL NOTE

On November 10, 1982, the Dow Jones crossed 1,000 points for the first time after a decade of stagnation — marking the dawn of the modern bull-market era. A timely reminder: markets always climb the wall of worry.

INVESTMENT – THE ORIGINAL DIGEST SINCE 2000
Independent. Unfiltered. Ahead of the herd.

INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL DIGEST – 10. NOVEMBER 2025 ✌
GEGRÜNDET 2000 – NOCH IMMER UNABHÄNGIG 🕶️

🌍 WELTWEITE MÄRKTE

Die Aussicht auf ein baldiges Ende der US-Regierungsschließung sorgte am Montag für kräftige Kursgewinne. Der S&P 500 stieg um 0,74 %, der Nasdaq 100 um 1,27 %. Auch europäische und asiatische Märkte legten deutlich zu.

💰 KRYPTOS & ROHSTOFFE

Bitcoin lag bei rund 106.000 US-$, Ethereum bei 3.600 US-$. Gold verteuerte sich auf 4.100 US-$/oz, während Brent-Öl bei 63,94 US-$/Barrel notierte.

Die Rendite der zehnjährigen US-Staatsanleihe kletterte auf 4,1 %, da Anleger wieder stärker in Risikoanlagen umschichten.

🧭 MARKTEINSCHÄTZUNG

Analysten sprechen von einer beginnenden „Reopening-Rotation“ – Kapital fließt von defensiven Werten in Tech-, Infrastruktur- und Energietitel.
Auch im Kryptobereich mehren sich institutionelle Aktivitäten, während volatilere Altcoins zulegen.

💡 KOMMENTAR VON BERND PULCH

„Unabhängigkeit im Journalismus ist kein Stilmittel – es ist Überlebensstrategie. Während andere die Schlagzeilen wiederkäuen, suchen wir nach den Fakten, die wirklich zählen.“

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WordPress Tags (English):
Investment Digest, Global Markets, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Gold, Oil Market, Treasury Yields, U.S. Shutdown, Market Outlook, Financial Intelligence, Economic Trends, Bernd Pulch, 8Investment, Patreon Exclusive, Independent Journalism, Stock Market 2025

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Investment Digest, Weltmärkte, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Goldpreis, Ölmarkt, Staatsanleihen, US-Shutdown, Marktausblick, Finanzanalyse, Wirtschaftstrends, Bernd Pulch, 8Investment, Patreon Exklusiv, Unabhängiger Journalismus, Aktienmarkt 2025

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INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST OCTOBER 21/22 2025✌INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL 21./22. OKTOBER 2025 FOUNDED IN 2000 ANNO DOMINI✌

INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST – OCTOBER 21, 2025 ✌
FOUNDED IN 2000 AND STILL INDEPENDENT 🕶️

🌍 GLOBAL MARKETS SNAPSHOT

Global markets entered the week walking a tightrope between optimism and unease. The S&P 500 rose modestly, powered by tech giants posting resilient quarterly results, while European equities lagged amid renewed inflation concerns and political headwinds in Berlin and Paris. Asian markets showed quiet strength, boosted by liquidity injections from the People’s Bank of China, aimed at rescuing debt-laden developers and supporting regional growth.

The sentiment among professional investors remains cautiously constructive, but traders note rising fragility in global liquidity and tightening credit spreads — signals that volatility could return suddenly, especially as the U.S. earnings season deepens and energy markets adjust to fluctuating Middle East tensions.

💵 CURRENCIES & COMMODITIES

The U.S. dollar slipped for a third consecutive session, reflecting a calmer interest-rate outlook. The euro strengthened to 1.0920, while the yen held steady near 147. Gold climbed to $2,462 per ounce — its highest level since 2023 — as central banks continued aggressive purchases. Oil fell below $86 as inventories rose and risk premiums receded.

Bitcoin traded near $64,000, with on-chain data suggesting a rotation from short-term speculators to long-term holders. Analysts interpret this as a preparatory phase before potential ETF-driven inflows later in Q4.

📈 FIXED INCOME

Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields hovered around 4.26%, a sign of relative calm after months of turbulence. German Bunds stayed at 2.38%, while UK Gilts continued to attract institutional flows seeking refuge from equity volatility. Bond traders now broadly price in the first Fed rate cut by mid-2026.

🧠 STRATEGIC INSIGHT

Markets are living in the “eye of the storm.” Inflation appears to be slowing, but credit stress is quietly building in small and mid-sized corporate sectors. Hedge funds are repositioning — reducing high-beta exposure and accumulating defensive energy and defense stocks.

Private capital is increasingly moving into AI infrastructure, sovereign data storage, and military robotics — areas expected to receive strong public funding through 2026. Analysts at major European banks caution: “The next tech bubble may not pop — it may militarize.”

🔍 TODAY’S ANALYTICS CORNER

  • Market Mood: Neutral to cautiously bullish (Sentiment Index: 59)
  • Hot Sectors: Semiconductors, Energy Transition, Cyber Defense
  • Cold Spots: Commercial Real Estate, ESG Funds, Consumer Credit
  • Macro Pulse: Global M2 liquidity up 1.3% MoM — a hidden support for equities

🕰️ FLASHBACK

On October 21, 1987, traders still reeled from Black Monday’s 22.6% plunge the day before — a cataclysm triggered by algorithmic panic and unchecked leverage. It remains a timeless lesson: systems built for speed can collapse in seconds.

🧭 OUTLOOK

Short term: Profit rotation likely to continue as investors rebalance portfolios.
Mid term: AI, infrastructure, and defense sectors lead the conviction list for Q4.
Long term: Liquidity will determine everything — those who track it will stay ahead of the herd.

📰 FROM BERNDPULCH.ORG

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Stay informed, stay skeptical, stay independent.
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INVESTMENT – THE ORIGINAL DIGEST SINCE 2000
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Support independent financial journalism — not the algorithm.

INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL DIGEST – 21. OKTOBER 2025 ✌
GEGRÜNDET IM JAHR 2000 UND NOCH IMMER UNABHÄNGIG 🕶️

🌍 WELTWEITE MÄRKTE IM ÜBERBLICK

Die globalen Börsen starteten mit gemischten Signalen in die Woche. Der S&P 500 legte leicht zu, getragen von starken Tech-Ergebnissen, während europäische Aktien wegen Energiepreisen und politischer Unsicherheit stagnierten. Asien zeigte sich robust – unterstützt durch neue Liquiditätsspritzen der chinesischen Zentralbank.

Anleger bleiben vorsichtig optimistisch, doch zunehmende Kreditrisiken und sinkende Margen könnten die Stimmung im vierten Quartal trüben. Viele Marktteilnehmer erwarten, dass die derzeitige Ruhe nur eine Atempause vor erneuter Volatilität ist.

💵 DEVISEN & ROHSTOFFE

Der US-Dollar schwächte sich weiter ab, der Euro festigte sich bei 1,09. Gold stieg auf 2.462 USD – getrieben durch Zentralbankkäufe. Ölpreise fielen unter 86 USD, da Lagerbestände zunahmen.
Bitcoin blieb stabil bei etwa 64.000 USD; die Daten zeigen zunehmende Langfristhalter.

📈 ANLEIHEN

Die Renditen zehnjähriger US-Staatsanleihen verharrten bei 4,26 %, auch deutsche Bunds blieben stabil bei 2,38 %. Anleiheinvestoren erwarten eine erste Zinssenkung der Fed bis Mitte 2026.

🧠 STRATEGISCHER EINBLICK

Der Markt befindet sich „im Auge des Sturms“: Inflation sinkt, aber Kreditrisiken steigen. Hedgefonds senken Risikoquoten und investieren verstärkt in Energie, Verteidigung und KI-Infrastruktur.
Private Investoren richten den Fokus auf Datenhoheit und militärische Robotik – Zukunftsmärkte mit geopolitischer Sprengkraft.

🔍 ANALYTIK-BEREICH

  • Stimmung: neutral bis leicht optimistisch (Index: 59)
  • Gewinner: Halbleiter, Energiewende, Cyberabwehr
  • Verlierer: Immobilien, ESG-Fonds, Konsumkredite
  • Makrotrend: Weltweite Geldmenge wächst weiter – heimlicher Stützpfeiler der Märkte

🕰️ RÜCKBLICK

Am 21. Oktober 1987 standen die Märkte noch unter Schock des „Black Monday“ – ein Absturz von 22,6 % an einem einzigen Tag. Die Lektion bleibt: Geschwindigkeit ersetzt keine Stabilität.

🧭 AUSBLICK

Kurzfristig: Sektorrotation und Gewinnmitnahmen.
Mittelfristig: KI, Infrastruktur und Verteidigung bleiben Favoriten.
Langfristig: Liquidität bleibt der entscheidende Faktor.

📰 VON BERNDPULCH.ORG

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الروابط الرسمية والتبرعات

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