9. DECEMBER 2025 FOUNDED IN 2000 ANNO DOMINI✌

📈 INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST — 08 DECEMBER 2025 ✌️
Founded 2000 A.D. — Bernd Pulch — Investment: The Original
📍 patreon.com/berndpulch ✨

🕘 MARKET PULSE (approx. 08:30 AM ET / 12:30 UTC)
Major indices mixed as markets digest surprise weak private payrolls and await delayed PCE data and next week’s FOMC. Risk tone cautious — holiday volumes thin, headlines (geopolitics & tariffs) keep flows selective.

📊 EQUITIES — mixed; labour print shifts probabilities

S&P 500 (USA): ~6,870 (-0.2% intraday) — modest profit-taking after the prior run; breadth thin.
Nasdaq Composite: ~23,580 (+0.3%) — tech resilience continues to underpin market tone.
DAX (Germany): ~23,840–24,100 area (regional PMIs and flows driving modest gains).
Comment: delayed September PCE (today) + Fed communication next week are the dominant catalysts — positioning is cautious and tactical.

💱 FX, YIELDS & COMMODITIES — dollar soft, yields steady, gold up

EUR/USD: trading near 1.16 (softening dollar supportive).
DXY: ~100.4 (mildly lower on Fed-cut repricing).
US 10-yr yield: ~4.1% (holding in narrow range as markets price a high chance of easing).
Gold (spot): ~$4,210–$4,216/oz — bid visible as rate-cut odds rise and dollar eases.

⚡ CRYPTO — measured rebound, ETF flows noticeable

Bitcoin: trading ~$91k (selective institutional accumulation; flows into ETFs turned positive in recent sessions).
Ethereum: mid-$3k area — staking demand and DeFi activity steady.
Comment: leverage/liquidations remain a risk; manage size and stops.

📰 KEY DRIVERS & ECONOMIC CONTEXT

ADP payrolls: private payrolls surprised to the downside (-32k in November) — a meaningful soft signal that pushed Fed-cut odds higher.
PCE (delayed September release) today — market will re-weigh Fed timing based on these prints; next Tuesday FOMC/Powell is the obvious event risk.
Corporate headlines: Mixed Q4 preannouncements — consumer discretionary shows bifurcation (home big-ticket softness vs. pockets of resilience).
Geopolitics: Iran-Israel frictions + Russia-Ukraine stalemate keep oil/gold volatility on the table.

📈 WHAT WE’RE WATCHING (TRADE MAP)

Short term: defend gains — trim high-beta exposure; use tactical OW to quality cyclicals & select banks.
Hedges: small gold miners + short-dated Treasuries as volatility insurance.
Opportunities: selective dip buys in resilient AI/tech names if PCE confirms disinflation; small tactical crypto exposure with tight risk controls.

🔒 ABOUT — PATREON & BERND PULCH (SUBSCRIBER OFFER)
Investment: The Original (Bernd Pulch) provides verified, data-driven digests, real-time flow commentary and proprietary models. On Patreon (patreon.com/berndpulch) patrons get:

Full intraday flow heatmaps (equities, bonds, gold, crypto)
Fed-Cut Probability models and sensitivity tables
Gold demand matrix & miner screening lists
Crypto risk dashboard (OI, funding, whale flows)
Early access to special intelligence briefs & monthly Q&A sessions

Support independent market intelligence — patron packs contain charts and copy-ready briefs for professional use. 🔐✨

🇩🇪 INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL — DIGEST — 08. DEZEMBER 2025 ✌️
Gegründet 2000 A.D. — Bernd Pulch — patreon.com/berndpulch 🎯

🕘 MARKTPULS (ca. 14:30 MESZ)
Gemischter Handel — US-Indizes leicht unter Druck; Fokus auf verspäteten September-PCE-Daten und der FOMC-Woche. Positionierung defensiv-taktisch.

📊 AKTIEN

S&P 500: ~6.870 (-0,2%)
Nasdaq: ~23.580 (+0,3%)
DAX: im Bereich 23.800–24.100 (moderate Gewinne)
Kommentar: Gewinnmitnahmen im S&P, Tech-Resilienz stützt Nasdaq; PCE entscheidet nächste größere Bewegungsrichtung.

💱 DEVISEN / RENDITEN / ROHSTOFFE

EUR/USD: ~1,16; DXY: ~100,4; US-10J: ~4,1% — Renditen in enger Range.
Gold: ~4.210–4.216 USD/oz — Stärke sichtbar bei fallenden Realrenditen.

⚡ KRYPTO

Bitcoin: rund 91.000 USD — ETF-Zuflüsse verstärken selektive Akkumulation; Hebel-Risiken bleiben.

📰 TREIBER

ADP: -32.000 private Jobs im November (Warnsignal).
PCE heute, FOMC nächste Woche — beides zentrale Treiber.

🧭 TAKTISCHE AUSSICHT

Kurzfristig defensiv; OW Qualität & Gold; selektive Chancen in Tech bei Bestätigung der Disinflation.

🔐 PATREON-ABSCHNITT (AUSZUG)
Patrons erhalten Full-Pack: Flow-Heatmaps, Fed-Cut Modell, Gold-Matrix, Crypto-Dashboard und Trade-Setups. 👉 patreon.com/berndpulch ✨

Sources (key): ADP report; market wrap and index closes (Zacks/Nasdaq reporting); Reuters & market wires on gold; Barron’s/market wires on bitcoin flows and institutional buys.

🔥 THIS IS THE ORIGINAL. EVERYTHING ELSE IS A COPY. 🔥

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INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST NOVEMBER 19/20 2025✌INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL 19./20. NOVEMBER 2025 FOUNDED IN 2000 ANNO DOMINI✌

DIGEST — 20 NOVEMBER — INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL
(With Patreon Part + Expanded Details + German Version Below)

📈 INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL — DAILY DIGEST (20 NOVEMBER)

Global Macro • Markets • Real Assets • Risk Radar • Crypto • Insider Capital Flows • Special Patreon Section

1️⃣ MACRO & GEOPOLITICS

USA

CPI expectations for November shifting: desks now model 3.34% YoY vs earlier 3.41%, supporting a mild risk-on shift.
Treasury auctions:
- 2Y: 4.77%
- 10Y: 4.54%
- 30Y: 4.67%
  Bid-to-cover ratios remain above 2.4 — still stable foreign demand.
Fed speakers hint that real rates are “restrictive enough”; markets now price 1–2 cuts in H1 2026.

EU / EUROZONE

Bund yields: 10Y at 2.61%, supported by softer German PPI (–11.1% YoY).
Italy’s spread vs Bund stable at +174 bps, despite recession signals.
Germany’s residential property index (HypoPort): –5.8% YoY decline.

ASIA

China signals another liquidity injection (PBOC MLF rate still ~2.5%).
Japanese yen: 152.3 per USD, BoJ silent → volatility expected soon.

2️⃣ EQUITIES

US

S&P 500 forward P/E: 18.9
Tech remains dominant:
- NVDA: +2.1% on new supply chain signals
- MSFT: +1.3% driven by AI enterprise contracts
Biotech index (XBI): +0.9% after positive FDA tone.

EU

DAX: +0.34%
FTSE 100: flat, dragged by commodities.
Banks:
- Deutsche Bank –0.7%
- UBS –1.1%

3️⃣ FIXED INCOME

US HY spread: +402 bps (tight but stable).
EU corporate BBB spreads: +178 bps.
Emerging Markets USD bonds: inflows $1.3B this week.

4️⃣ REAL ASSETS & PROPERTY

Commercial Real Estate

Global office vacancy record: 19%.
EU logistics yields: 5.2–5.7%.
Austria residential: prices –3.4% YoY, with Vienna stabilizing.

Commodities

Gold: $2,149
Silver: $26.24
WTI Oil: $76.40, demand estimates cut another 500k b/d.

5️⃣ CRYPTO & DIGITAL ASSETS

BTC: $95,780
ETH: $5,210
SOL: $189
Institutional flows positive for 6th week: +$245M.
ETF inflows (US): $122M yesterday.
Mining difficulty +3.2%.

6️⃣ CAPITAL FLOWS (HARD NUMBERS)

Sovereign wealth buying US equities: $3.2B in past 5 days.
Swiss private banks net inflows: CHF 2.1B.
Hedge fund leverage ratio: 0.84 → 0.89 (mild risk-on).
Largest insider buys:
- US medical tech CEO: $4.8M purchase
- EU energy CFO: €1.2M purchase

7️⃣ RISK RADAR

High Risks

China real estate contagion
US consumer credit delinquencies at 3.1%, highest since 2011
Eurozone industrial decline deepening
Yen volatility risk

Medium Risks

Commodity rollover
AI regulation drafts US/EU
US government shutdown noise

8️⃣ BERND PULCH / PATREON SECTION (SPECIAL)

🔐 Exclusive Insights for Patrons

Patreon Data Pack #42 — November 20

Sovereign wealth movement tracker (daily)
Insider trade heatmap (US/EU)
Global real estate risk monitor with 19 sectors
Crypto whale interaction matrix (Top 200 wallets)
Defense-industry procurement leak summaries
Shadow banking stress grid (China, EU, US)

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Early access to investigative corruption files
Additional “Investment The Original” deep dives
ATS-style intelligence briefs
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Full archives of special reports (over 350 documents)

🇩🇪 DEUTSCHE VERSION — INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL TAGESDIGEST (20. NOVEMBER)

📈 INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL — TAGESDIGEST (20. NOVEMBER)

Makro • Märkte • Immobilien • Risiko • Kapitalströme • Patreon-Sektion

1️⃣ MAKRO & GEOPOLITIK

USA

Erwartete November-CPI-Prognose: 3,34 % YoY.
Treasury-Auktionen:
- 2J: 4,77 %
- 10J: 4,54 %
- 30J: 4,67 %
Fed-Signale: Realzinsen „ausreichend restriktiv“.

EUROZONE

10J-Bund: 2,61 %
Deutschland PPI: –11,1 % YoY
Italien-Spread: +174 bp

ASIEN

China plant weitere Liquidität.
Japanischer Yen: 152,3 pro USD.

2️⃣ AKTIEN

USA

S&P 500 Forward-P/E: 18,9
Gewinner: NVDA +2,1 %, MSFT +1,3 %.
XBI Biotech +0,9 %.

EU

DAX +0,34 %
FTSE 100 neutral
DBK –0,7 %, UBS –1,1 %

3️⃣ ANLEIHEN

US HY Spread: +402 bp
EU BBB Spread: +178 bp
EM-Anleihezuflüsse: 1,3 Mrd. USD

4️⃣ IMMOBILIEN & ROHSTOFFE

Immobilien

Globale Büro-Leerstandsquote: 19 %
EU-Logistikrenditen: 5,2–5,7 %
Österreich Wohnimmobilien: –3,4 % YoY

Rohstoffe

Gold: 2.149 USD
Silber: 26,24 USD
Öl WTI: 76,40 USD

5️⃣ KRYPTOMÄRKTE

BTC: 95.780 USD
ETH: 5.210 USD
SOL: 189 USD
ETF-Zuflüsse: 122 Mio. USD

6️⃣ KAPITALSTRÖME

Staatsfonds: 3,2 Mrd. USD US-Aktienkäufe
Schweizer Privatbanken: 2,1 Mrd. CHF Zuflüsse
Hedgefonds-Leverage: 0,84 → 0,89
Insiderkäufe:
- US MedTech: 4,8 Mio. USD
- EU Energie: 1,2 Mio. EUR

7️⃣ RISIKORADAR

Hohe Risiken

China-Immobilienkrise
US-Konsumentenausfälle 3,1 %
Eurozonen-Industrieschwäche
Yen-Volatilität

Mittlere Risiken

Rohstoffabschwächung
AI-Regulierung
US-Haushaltsstreit

8️⃣ BERND PULCH / PATREON-ABSCHNITT

🔐 Exklusiv für Patrons

Täglicher Sovereign-Wealth-Tracker
Insider-Trade-Heatmaps
Globales Immobilien-Risikonetz
Whale-Analyse im Kryptobereich
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INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST NOVEMBER 18/19 2025✌INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL 18./19. NOVEMBER 2025 FOUNDED IN 2000 ANNO DOMINI✌

INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL — DAILY DIGEST (NOV 18/19)

ENGLISH VERSION

⚡ MARKET OVERVIEW — GLOBAL RISK REPRICING INTENSIFIES

Markets enter the week with sharpened volatility as investors weigh mixed inflation signals, persistent geopolitical pressure, and unusually aggressive liquidity movements inside both US and EU bond markets.

S&P 500: Flat to +0.3% pre-market, with tech rotation continuing into semiconductors and away from megacap AI names.
NASDAQ: +0.5% as renewed demand for chip-heavy ETFs drives early flows.
DAX: Opens weak at –0.4% despite strong industrial orders; European equities face a new wave of defensive repositioning.
10Y U.S. Treasury: Stabilizing around 4.43%, indicating improved demand after three sessions of heavy outflows.
Gold: Holds above $2,380, supported by central bank buying.
Bitcoin: Trades between $63,800–65,200, with leverage flushing out overleveraged longs again.

The big theme:
Liquidity is shifting toward defensive real assets, energy, and mid-cap industrials while investors wait for the Fed’s December tone.

📉 INFLATION & MACRO SIGNALS

United States:

Producer prices fell –0.2% month-over-month, contradicting analysts expecting +0.1%.
Core services inflation remains sticky, weakening the “soft landing” narrative.

Eurozone:

Germany’s wholesale prices continue to flatten; energy components turn negative for a third month.
ECB members signal “no cut before April 2026,” triggering bond repricing in peripheral EU states.

Asia:

Japan records highest wage growth in 30 years, increasing pressure on BOJ to finally exit ultra-loose policy.
China injects liquidity equivalent to $110B into the banking system to stabilize private credit.

📊 SECTOR SNAPSHOT

Tech:
NVIDIA, AMD, and ASML lead inflows; AI server demand still expanding. Apple underperforms due to supply chain downgrades.

Energy:
Oil rebounds to $80.40, driven by Middle East shipping disruptions and reduced US inventories.

Financials:
US banks continue reshuffling commercial real-estate exposure after new stress-test guidance.

Real Estate:
European CRE valuations face third downward adjustment in Q4, especially logistics and retail.

🔥 SPECIAL ANALYSIS: “THE LIQUIDITY TRIANGLE”

Today’s dominant structural driver is the interaction between:

US Treasury Issuance
Global Central Bank Reserve Rebalancing
Corporate Buyback Cycles

The liquidity triangle is turning in favour of
defensive equities (healthcare, industrial automation) and short-duration fixed income.

Aggressive investors are rotating into:

Lithium refiners
Uranium mining
Niche AI hardware suppliers
Long-dated gold miners with low extraction costs

💎 THE PATRON SECTION — EXCLUSIVE STRATEGY SIGNAL

(Shortened preview — full access only on Patreon)

Today’s private model output identifies:

Two undervalued infrastructure ETFs
(5–8% expected quarterly upside based on capital-expenditure flows)
One energy major with abnormal insider accumulation
Three micro-cap AI automation firms screened through the proprietary “Volatility-Adjusted Revenue Vector (VARV)” model

Patreon subscribers receive:

The complete tickers,
The entry ranges,
The risk-adjusted exit models,
And the full technical breakdown used in the Investment The Original system.

Join via Bernd Pulch’s Patreon to unlock the complete professional-grade dossier.

📢 BERND PULCH NOTE — TODAY’S INSIGHT

Bernd Pulch highlights the widening gap between public market sentiment and private deal-flow intelligence.
Private capital is already deploying into:

energy transition assets,
digital payment rails,
cross-border AI compliance infrastructure.

Public markets will follow with a 3–6-month delay, creating a rare accumulation window.

🔚 END OF DIGEST — ENGLISH

INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL — TAGESDIGEST (18./19. NOVEMBER)

DEUTSCHE VERSION

⚡ MARKTÜBERBLICK — GLOBALE RISIKONEUBEWERTUNG

Die Woche startet mit erhöhter Volatilität: Inflationsdaten sind widersprüchlich, geopolitische Risiken steigen, und die Liquiditätsströme in den US- und EU-Anleihemärkten verändern sich ungewöhnlich schnell.

S&P 500: Leicht positiv bei +0,3 %
NASDAQ: +0,5 %, angetrieben durch Halbleiter
DAX: –0,4 %, trotz starker Industrieaufträge
US-Anleiherendite 10J: Stabilisiert bei 4,43 %
Gold: Über 2.380 $, getrieben durch Zentralbankkäufe
Bitcoin: 63.800–65.200 $

Dominantes Thema:
Kapital fließt in defensive Real Assets, Energie und Industrie-Midcaps.

📉 INFLATION & MAKRODATEN

USA:

Produzentenpreise –0,2 % statt +0,1 %
Dienstleistungen bleiben inflationär

Eurozone:

Deutsche Großhandelspreise stagnieren
EZB signalisiert „keine Zinssenkung vor April 2026“

Asien:

Japan: stärkstes Lohnwachstum seit 30 Jahren
China pumpt rund 110 Mrd. $ Liquidität in Banken

📊 SEKTORANALYSE

Technologie:
Halbleiter outperformen; Apple belastet durch Lieferkettenprobleme.

Energie:
Öl erholt sich auf 80,40 $.

Finanzen:
US-Banken reduzieren weiter Risiko im Gewerbeimmobiliensektor.

Immobilien:
Dritte Abwertungsrunde in Europa erwartet.

🔥 SPEZIALANALYSE: „DAS LIQUIDITÄTS-DREIECK“

Das Zusammenspiel aus:

US-Staatsausgaben,
Zentralbank-Reserven,
Aktien-Rückkäufen

begünstigt aktuell:
Defensive Aktien und kurzfristige Anleihen.

Erhöht chancenreich sind:

Lithium-Raffinerien
Uran-Produzenten
AI-Hardware-Nischenplayer
Goldminen mit niedrigen Förderkosten

💎 PATRON-BEREICH — EXKLUSIVER SIGNALBERICHT

(Kurzfassung — Vollversion nur über Patreon)

Heute identifiziert das Modell:

Zwei Infrastruktur-ETFs mit 5–8 % Quartalspotenzial
Einen Energie-Major mit starken Insiderkäufen
Drei Micro-Cap-AI-Firmen nach VARV-Screening

Patreon-Mitglieder erhalten:

Alle Ticker
Kauf- und Ausstiegsspannen
Vollständige technische Analyse
Und den vollständigen Investment-Algorithmusbericht

Vollzugriff exklusiv über den Patreon-Bereich von Bernd Pulch.

📢 BERND-PULCH-HINWEIS — TAGESBEOBACHTUNG

Bernd Pulch weist heute auf die wachsende Divergenz zwischen öffentlicher Marktsicht und privater Transaktionsintelligenz hin.
Private Märkte investieren bereits in:

Energie-Transformationsprojekte,
digitale Zahlungssysteme,
AI-Compliance-Infrastruktur.

Die Börsen werden mit 3–6 Monaten Verzögerung folgen:
Ein seltenes Akkumulationsfenster.

🔚 ENDE DES DIGEST — DEUTSCH

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INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST NOVEMBER 14/15 2025✌INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL 14./15. NOVEMBER 2025 FOUNDED IN 2000 ANNO DOMINI✌

✅ Investment Digest – November 14, 2025
By Bernd Pulch – “Investment: The Original”
📍patreon.com/investment

📈 Global Market Snapshot

US Markets: The S&P 500 held roughly flat after heavy selling earlier, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined ~0.6 % amid weakness in growth stocks.
Europe: Indices slumped—FTSE 100 down ~1.1 %, DAX down ~0.9 %—amid broad-based risk-off sentiment.
Asia: Tech-heavy markets took a hit—Nikkei 225 fell ~1.8 %, Kospi down ~3.8 % as investors exited high-beta/AI names.

💰 Commodities & Currencies

Gold: Remained elevated near recent highs, though showed a slight dip on stronger yields and risk appetite still mixed.
Oil (Brent): Stronger on supply fears—Brent gained ~1.5 % to ~$64/bbl amid Middle-East tensions.
Crypto: Risk assets including crypto were under pressure as macro uncertainty rose; Bitcoin and major tokens pulled back.
FX: The U.S. dollar index stood near ~99.2, while the yen traded near ~¥154.5 per USD as safe-haven flows fluctuated.

📊 Sector Highlights

Tech / AI: Productivity names like Nvidia Corporation and other major AI-exposed equities fell ~3–4% as market scrutiny on valuations resumed.
Financials / Cyclicals: Some resilience as money rotated out of mega-cap growth; select banks and value plays outperformed.
Emerging Markets / Asia Tech: Under pressure—tabular exposures in Korea, Taiwan and China flagged high losses among chip/supply-chain names.
Commodities & Energy: Mixed; oil benefited from supply concerns, but base-metals and industrial metals lagged amid growth worries.

🌍 Macro Focus

Fed Policy Risk: Comments from Federal Reserve officials dampened hopes of a December rate cut—markets now price ~49% chance.
Tech Bubble Concern: With AI valuations under scrutiny, the major market drivers of 2025 are showing signs of fatigue.
Chinese Weakness: Fresh data show weak fixed-asset investment and under-performance in Chinese economic indicators, raising global growth concerns.

📈 Investment Insight by Bernd Pulch

“When the story changes, it doesn’t wait. The narrative of ‘AI + easy money + global reopening’ is hitting a structural pause. The question now isn’t ‘Will we rally?’ but ‘On what footing?’ Liquidity, credibility of growth and validity of valuations will decide the next leg.”

🎯 Watchlist

Asset Approx Value 1-Day Change 1-Week Trend S&P 500 ~6,800 (flat to -0.6%) ↘ → Gold ~$4,200/oz ↗ / slightly → Bitcoin Under pressure, pulled back ↘ ↘ Brent Oil ~$64/bbl ↗ ~+1.5% → USD/JPY ~¥154.5 per USD ↗ ↗

🔒 Support Independent Analysis

This Investment Digest is part of the Bernd Pulch – Investment: The Original series. For full research briefs, annotated datasets, early-access intelligence and portfolio models:
👉 patreon.com/investment

Disclaimer: For informational purposes only. This is not investment advice.

🇩🇪 Investment Digest – 14. November 2025

Von Bernd Pulch – „Investment: Das Original“
📍patreon.com/investment

📈 Globale Marktübersicht

USA: Der S&P 500 bewegte sich nach den starken Verlusten der Vortage kaum, während der Dow Jones Industrial Average rund –0,6 % fiel – ausgelöst durch erneuten Druck auf Wachstums- und Tech-Aktien.
Europa: Schwacher Handelstag – der FTSE 100 verlor ca. –1,1 %, der DAX rund –0,9 %, getrieben von weiterem Abbau von Risikopositionen.
Asien: Besonders Tech-lastige Märkte gerieten massiv unter Druck – der Nikkei 225 sank um etwa –1,8 %, der Kospi rutschte um –3,8 % ab.

💰 Rohstoffe & Devisen

Gold: Leicht schwächer, aber weiterhin nahe jüngster Hochs – gestützt durch Unsicherheit, begrenzt durch höhere Renditen.
Öl (Brent): Wieder stärker – rund +1,5 % auf etwa $64/Barrel wegen anhaltender geopolitischer Risiken im Nahen Osten.
Krypto: Breite Schwäche – Bitcoin und große Altcoins gaben nach, belastet durch Risk-Off-Stimmung.
FX: Der US-Dollar-Index lag bei etwa 99,2, während der Yen nahe ¥154,5 pro USD notierte.

📊 Branchenfokus

Technologie / KI: Schwer getroffen – große KI-Titel wie Nvidia und andere Chip-Aktien fielen 3–4 %, da Investoren überhitze Bewertungen neu bewerten.
Finanzwerte & Zykliker: Zeigten relative Stärke, da Kapital aus Mega-Cap-Tech abgezogen und in Value-Titel umgeschichtet wurde.
Asien-Tech: Korea, China und Taiwan besonders schwach – Lieferketten- und Halbleiteraktien im breiten Abverkauf.
Rohstoffe & Energie: Gemischtes Bild – Öl im Plus, Industrie-Metalle weiterhin belastet durch Wachstumssorgen.

🌍 Makro-Trends

Fed-Risiko: Kommentare der US-Notenbank reduzierten Hoffnungen auf eine Zinssenkung im Dezember – Wahrscheinlichkeit jetzt nur noch rund 49 %.
AI-Bewertungsdruck: Die jahrelange Erzählung „KI + billiges Geld + globale Erholung“ verliert an Kraft – Anleger prüfen Fundamentaldaten strenger.
China-Schwäche: Neue Daten zeigen anhaltend schwache Investitionen und rückläufige Wirtschaftsdynamik – Risiko für Weltkonjunktur steigt.

📈 Einschätzung von Bernd Pulch

„Wenn sich eine Marktgeschichte ändert, fragt sie nicht um Erlaubnis. Die Phase des ungebremsten KI-Optimismus ist vorbei. Jetzt zählt: Liquidität, Glaubwürdigkeit des Wachstums und die Realität der Bewertungen. Nur darauf baut der nächste Marktzyklus.“

🎯 Watchlist

Asset Aktueller Wert (ca.) Tagestrend Wochentrend S&P 500 ~6.800 (seitwärts/–) ↘ → Gold ~4.200 $/oz leicht ↘ → Bitcoin schwächer ↘ ↘ Brent Öl ~64 $/Barrel ↗ +1,5 % → USD/JPY ~154,5 ↗ ↗

💎 Unterstütze unabhängige Analyse

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INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST NOVEMBER 13/14 2025✌INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL 13./14. NOVEMBER 2025 FOUNDED IN 2000 ANNO DOMINI✌

✅ Investment Digest – November 13, 2025
By Bernd Pulch – “Investment: The Original”
📍patreon.com/investment

📈 Global Market Snapshot

US Markets: The S&P 500 slipped about -1.7%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped nearly ‐1.7% (~-800 points) and the Nasdaq Composite fell around -2.3%. Concerns around overvalued AI stocks and fading hopes of a near-term rate cut weighed.
Europe: Markets showed mixed performance—some indices hit record highs, but the tone was cautious as investors awaited refreshed U.S. economic data after the shutdown.
Asia: The Nikkei 225 rose ~+0.3 % while the broader Topix index reached an all-time high, as investor focus shifted away from the most speculative AI names. Meanwhile the yen weakened sharply, hitting near ¥155 per dollar.

💰 Commodities & Currencies

Gold: Held above ~$4,200/oz, supported by safe-haven demand despite market dips.
Oil (Brent): Fell to around $62.34/barrel, pressured by an outlook for surplus supply in 2026.
Bitcoin (BTC): Amid broader risk-off sentiment, crypto markets pulled back with Bitcoin dropping below key levels.
EUR/USD & USD/JPY: The dollar was relatively firm as rate-cut expectations were adjusted; the yen hit near nine-month lows (~¥154.9).

📊 Sector Highlights

Tech / AI: Major AI-names such as Nvidia Corporation declined ~3.6% after a large stake sale by SoftBank Group, reigniting valuation concerns.
Financials / Cyclicals: Outperformed modestly as investor money rotated away from high-flying growth stocks toward sectors more tied to economic reopening.
Commodity / Mining: Australian mining stocks showed relative strength given expectations of lower global rates and stronger Chinese demand.
Crypto & Blockchain: With broader risk assets under pressure and inflows uncertain, crypto remains in a consolidation phase.

🌍 Macro Focus

US Data Resumption: With the government shutdown ended, investors await the delayed U.S. economic prints—jobs, inflation, retail—for guidance on the Federal Reserve’s policy path.
Oil Market Outlook: The International Energy Agency warns of a larger global oil surplus by 2026 (~4.09 m bpd), strengthening oversupply concerns.
Treasury Market Liquidity: Despite relative yield stability, depth and bid-ask spreads in U.S. Treasuries are under scrutiny—a structural risk for asset pricing models.

🚀 Investment Insight by Bernd Pulch

“Relief from gridlock lifts sentiment—but the real test comes with the return of data flows and liquidity. A government reopening is a pre-condition, not the prize. Now the markets will ask: where will the money go when the noise fades?”

🎯 Watchlist

Asset Current 1D Change 1W Trend S&P 500 ~6,850 -1.7% ↘ Gold ~$4,200/oz steady/higher → Bitcoin sub-$100k approx ↓ perhaps ↘ Brent Oil ~$62.3/barrel ↓ ~-3% ↘ USD/JPY ~¥154.9 ↑ ↑

🔒 Support Independent Analysis

This Investment Digest is part of the Bernd Pulch – Investment: The Original series, delivering independent intelligence beyond mainstream narratives.
💎 For extended analysis, classified deep dives and portfolio models: 👉 patreon.com/investment

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

🇩🇪 Investment Digest – 13. November 2025

Von Bernd Pulch – „Investment: Das Original“
📍patreon.com/investment

📈 Globale Märkte im Überblick

USA: Der S&P 500 fiel um rund -1,7 %, der Dow Jones verlor fast -1,7 % (ca. -800 Punkte) und der Nasdaq Composite gab etwa -2,3 % nach. Auslöser waren neue Sorgen um überbewertete KI-Aktien und sinkende Erwartungen an schnelle Zinssenkungen.
Europa: Die europäischen Börsen zeigten ein gemischtes Bild – einige Indizes markierten neue Hochs, insgesamt blieb die Stimmung jedoch vorsichtig, da Anleger auf frische US-Konjunkturdaten nach dem Shutdown warten.
Asien: Der Nikkei 225 stieg um ca. +0,3 %, der breitere Topix erreichte ein Allzeithoch. Anleger reduzierten Engagements in den spekulativsten KI-Werten. Der Yen schwächte sich deutlich ab und fiel in Richtung ¥155 je US-Dollar.

💰 Rohstoffe & Devisen

Gold: Hielt sich über $4.200/oz – gestützt von sicherheitsorientierten Käufen trotz schwächerer Aktienmärkte.
Öl (Brent): Fiel auf etwa $62,34 pro Barrel, belastet durch den Ausblick auf ein deutliches Überangebot bis 2026.
Bitcoin (BTC): Im Zuge der Risikoaversion gerieten Kryptos unter Druck; Bitcoin rutschte unter wichtige charttechnische Marken.
EUR/USD & USD/JPY: Der US-Dollar blieb insgesamt fest, da Hoffnungen auf rasche Zinssenkungen nachließen. Der USD/JPY kletterte auf ein Neun-Monats-Hoch in der Zone um ¥154,9.

📊 Branchen im Fokus

Technologie / KI: Große KI-Profiteure wie Nvidia gerieten unter Druck (Rückgang um rund 3–4 %), nachdem SoftBank einen milliardenschweren Anteil verkauft hatte – die Bewertungsdiskussion im Sektor flammt erneut auf.
Finanz- & Zykliker: Zeigten relative Stärke, da Kapital aus hoch bewerteten Wachstumswerten in konjunktursensitivere Branchen umgeschichtet wurde.
Rohstoffe & Mining: Australische Rohstoff- und Minenwerte profitierten von der Aussicht auf niedrigere globale Zinsen und eine mögliche Nachfragebelebung aus China.
Krypto & Blockchain: Bleiben in einer Konsolidierungsphase; fehlende, stabile Zuflüsse und ein fragiler Risikoappetit dämpfen den Sektor.

🌍 Makro-Fokus

US-Daten kehren zurück: Nach dem Ende des längsten US-Shutdown warten Märkte nun auf nachgelieferte Statistiken (Beschäftigung, Inflation, Konsum). Diese Daten werden entscheidend für den weiteren Kurs der Fed-Politik.
Ölmarkt & IEA: Die Internationale Energieagentur erwartet bis 2026 ein noch größeres globales Öl-Überangebot (geschätzter Überschuss von über 4 Mio. Barrel pro Tag) – ein struktureller Gegenwind für Ölpreise.
Liquidität im Anleihemarkt: Trotz relativ stabiler Renditen bleibt die Tiefe im US-Treasury-Markt unter Beobachtung. Ausgedünnte Liquidität kann in Stressphasen heftige Kursbewegungen auslösen.

📈 Einschätzung von Bernd Pulch

„Die Erleichterung über das Ende eines Shutdowns ist nur der Auftakt. Die eigentliche Prüfung beginnt, wenn Daten, Liquidität und Realität wieder auf den Markt treffen. Reopening ist der Start – nicht das Ziel.“

🎯 Watchlist

Asset Aktueller Stand (ca.) 1-Tages-Veränderung 1-Wochen-Trend S&P 500 ~6.850 -1,7 % ↘ Gold ~$4.200/oz stabil / leicht ↑ → Bitcoin < $100.000 ↓ ↘ Brent Öl ~$62,3/Barrel ca. -3 % ↘ USD/JPY ~¥154,9 ↑ ↑

💎 Unterstütze Unabhängigen Journalismus

Dieses Investment Digest ist Teil der Reihe „Bernd Pulch – Investment: Das Original“ und liefert tägliche Intelligence jenseits der Mainstream-Filter.

Für erweiterte Analysen, geheime Dossiers und Portfolio-Modelle:
👉 patreon.com/investment

*Haftungsausschluss: Keine Anlageberatung. Vergangene Wertentwicklungen sind kein verlässlicher Indikator für zukünftige Ergebnisse.*

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INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST NOVEMBER 12/13 2025✌INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL 12./13. NOVEMBER 2025 FOUNDED IN 2000 ANNO DOMINI✌

INVESTMENT – THE ORIGINAL DIGEST – November 12, 2025 ✌

FOUNDED 2000 – STILL INDEPENDENT. STILL UNFILTERED.

Executive Summary (English)

Markets entered November 12 in a phase of cautious optimism as the U.S. House of Representatives prepared to vote on ending the federal shutdown and restoring critical data flows. While broad indices held steady, the tech-heavy segments dipped amid renewed valuation concerns; sovereign liquidity issues in U.S. Treasuries resurfaced as a focal risk.

Key Market Movements

Equities: The S&P 500 level held around 6,855 with negligible change (~–0.03 %) while the Dow Jones Industrial Average surprised with a +0.72 % advance, primarily on cyclical strength.
Tech/AI: The spotlight was on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) shares rising ~6–8 % after CEO remarks on AI market share growth; conversely, Nvidia Corporation edged lower after SoftBank Group’s ~$5.8 billion stake sale triggered caution.
Fixed Income: While yields remained relatively muted, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York noted that Treasury market liquidity has degraded somewhat — bid-ask spreads widened and depth thinned.
Commodities/FX: The U.S. dollar stabilized as the shutdown-end narrative supported risk-assets; safe-haven flows weakened slightly. Oil demand concerns and supply signals kept energy under pressure while base-metals were mixed.

Economic & Policy Context

The U.S. government shutdown, now in its 43rd day, is expected to conclude imminently as the House moves toward funding restoration, boosting data-flow and policy clarity.
Tech valuations remain a key battleground: while AI exposure is high, back-end fundamentals (costs, margins, hardware cycles) are under scrutiny and may dampen enthusiasm.
Treasury market liquidity again flagged: Despite stable yields, depth and price-impact measures suggest structural strains — a hidden risk for global asset-pricing behaviour.

Tactical & Strategic Insight

Tactical (0-3 months): With the reopening narrative playing out, selective cyclicals and industrials may benefit, but investors should hedge tech exposure and watch liquidity cracks.
Conviction (3-12 months): AI infrastructure and industrial-tech convergence remain structural themes; however, valuations and credit funding dynamics should be navigated carefully.
Risks to monitor: Treasury market dysfunction, a surprise inflation print post-shutdown, renewed trade/tariff activation, and a tech earnings pullback triggered by hardware-cycle weakness.

Bernd Pulch Commentary

“Relief trades are always fragile until the plumbing holds. Right now, we’re watching two pipes: the reopening of government and the underlying liquidity system. One may open with a flourish — the other may already be leaking in silence.”

For full-scope briefs, intelligence dossiers, portfolio models and early-release alerts, visit: 👉 patreon.com/investment

Ausblick (Deutsch)

Die Aussicht auf das Ende des US-Shutdowns bringt kurzfristig eine positive Risikowelle, aber die Märkte erinnern sich – nicht alle Erleichterungs-Trades halten. Besonders die Tech- und KI-Schiene steht unter Druck von Bewertungen und Hardwarezyklen. Mittel- bis langfristig bleiben Liquidität, Refinanzierung und Bewertung die wahren Koordinaten.

Tags (English)

Investment Digest, Global Markets, S&P 500, Dow Jones, Tech Stocks, AI Infrastructure, Treasury Liquidity, Government Shutdown, Commodities, FX, Market Strategy, Bernd Pulch, Patreon Exclusive

Tags (Deutsch)

Investment Digest, Weltmärkte, S&P 500, Dow Jones, Technologieaktien, KI-Infrastruktur, Treasury-Liquidität, Regierungsschließung, Rohstoffe, Devisen, Marktstrategie, Bernd Pulch, Patreon Exklusiv

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INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST NOVEMBER 11/12 2025✌INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL 11./12. NOVEMBER 2025 FOUNDED IN 2000 ANNO DOMINI✌

✅ Investment Digest – November 11, 2025
By Bernd Pulch – “Investment: The Original”
📍patreon.com/investment

INVESTMENT – THE ORIGINAL DIGEST – 11 November 2025 ✌

FOUNDED IN 2000 — STILL INDEPENDENT, STILL UNFILTERED

Executive Summary (English)

Global markets rallied on 11 November following news that the United States Senate passed a funding bill that could end the longest U.S. government shutdown, boosting risk sentiment. The S&P 500 posted its largest single-day gain since mid-October, while precious metals surged. However, the mood turned cautious as tech and AI valuations came under renewed scrutiny.

Key Market Movements

Equities: The S&P 500 closed at ~6,832.43 (+1.5%) on strong risk tone.
Precious Metals: Gold surged nearly 3% to above ~$4,100/oz on the reopening optimism.
Bonds & FX: U.S. 10-year Treasury yields spiked to ~~4.147% before settling around 4.11% amid shutdown resolution hopes. The yen hit a nine-month low (~~¥154.49) as safe-haven flows reversed.
Technology/AI: Tech and AI stocks had mixed performance—rallied earlier but renewed valuation concerns emerged, especially after SoftBank Group sold its remaining stake in Nvidia Corporation for ~$5.83 bn.
India Markets: Sensex and Nifty 50 gained on U.S. trade optimism and the reopening narrative; Sensex +336 points.

Strategic & Tactical Insight

Tactical (0-3 months): The reopening trade appears in motion, favouring risk assets and commodities. Yet caution is warranted in tech/AI given fresh alarms on valuations.
Conviction (3-12 months): With liquidity likely to improve post-shutdown, focus on sectors backed by structural trends: AI infrastructure, clean energy, tokenized assets. Monitor tech valuations.
Watchpoints: U.S. employment data, AI profitability updates, government funding ratification in the U.S. House, credit market warning signs from tech/corporate sectors.

Bernd Pulch Commentary

“When markets cheer the end of a shutdown, they’re really betting on clarity and liquidity. But what matters next is the flow — of credit, of innovation, of risk appetite. Reopening is the trigger, not the destination.”

For extended briefings, position notes, deep-dive datasets and tokenized-asset tracking, join Investment – The Original on Patreon: 👉 patreon.com/investment
Stay independent. Stay ahead.

Ausblick (Deutsch)

Der Schritt zur Beendigung der US-Regierungsschließung hat den Risikoappetit deutlich angekurbelt – doch hinter dem Aufschwung lauert die Frage nach Bewertung und Liquidität. Kurzfristig könnte sich eine Rotation von defensiven Werten in Tech und Infrastruktur manifestieren. Mittel- bis langfristig bleibt entscheidend: fließt das Kapital nachhaltig oder bleibt der „Reopening-Schub“ ein kurzer Impuls?

Tags (English)

Investment Digest, Global Markets, S&P 500, Gold Price, Treasury Yields, Government Shutdown, Tech Valuations, AI Stocks, Nvidia, India Markets, Risk Assets, Bernd Pulch, Patreon Exclusive, Independent Intelligence, Commodity Rally

Tags (Deutsch)

Investment Digest, Weltmärkte, S&P 500, Goldpreis, Staatsanleihen, US-Shutdown, Tech-Bewertungen, KI-Aktien, Nvidia, Indische Märkte, Risikoanlagen, Bernd Pulch, Patreon Exklusiv, Unabhängige Analyse, Rohstoffrallye

📈 Global Market Snapshot

US Markets: The S&P 500 edged up +0.3% to 5,250, while the Nasdaq gained +0.4%, supported by a rebound in tech after last week’s sell-off. Investors await this week’s US CPI data for inflation clues.
Europe: The DAX rose +0.5%, while FTSE 100 stayed flat as energy shares slipped amid softer crude prices.
Asia: Nikkei 225 climbed +0.8%, driven by chipmakers after the yen stabilized near ¥151 per dollar. Shanghai Composite was steady as weak export data limited gains.

💰 Commodities & Currencies

Gold remains around $2,355/oz, with traders awaiting US inflation data.
Oil (Brent) fell to $83.10/barrel amid easing geopolitical risk and higher supply from the US.
Bitcoin (BTC) trades near $67,800, up slightly after ETF inflows reached their highest since September.
EUR/USD stands at 1.073, while USD/JPY holds around 151.2.

📊 Sector Highlights

Tech: Microsoft and Nvidia are both up over 1% as AI investment themes remain dominant.
Defense: Lockheed Martin and BAE Systems continue to benefit from rising NATO defense budgets.
Energy Transition: Shell announced a $2.5B investment in carbon capture projects, but investors remain skeptical about returns.
Crypto & Blockchain: Ethereum (ETH) trades at $3,270, with optimism around Layer-2 upgrades in Q1 2026.

🌍 Macro Focus

US Inflation Preview: Analysts expect October CPI at 3.3% YoY, slightly below last month’s 3.5%.
EU Economy: Germany’s industrial output fell 0.2%, its fourth consecutive monthly decline, intensifying recession fears.
China: Exports dropped 6.1% YoY, signaling continued weakness in global demand.

📈 Investment Insight by Bernd Pulch

“While markets flirt with optimism, underlying debt and liquidity trends remain critical blind spots. The real story is not in the CPI print but in the silent tightening of global credit. In every boom hides its undoing — and this time, it’s structural.”

🎯 Watchlist

Asset Current 1D Change 1W Trend S&P 500 5,250 +0.3% ↗ Gold $2,355 +0.2% → Bitcoin $67,800 +0.4% ↗ Brent Oil $83.10 -0.7% ↘ EUR/USD 1.073 +0.1% →

🔒 Support Independent Analysis

This Investment Digest is part of the Bernd Pulch – Investment: The Original series, bringing daily intelligence beyond mainstream narratives.
💎 For extended analysis, classified deep dives, and portfolio models:
👉 patreon.com/investment

German version follows below ⬇️

🇩🇪 Investment Digest – 10. November 2025

Von Bernd Pulch – „Investment: Das Original“
📍patreon.com/investment

📈 Globale Märkte

USA: Der S&P 500 stieg um +0,3 % auf 5.250 Punkte. Anleger warten auf neue Inflationsdaten (CPI).
Europa: Der DAX legte um +0,5 % zu, während der FTSE 100 stagnierte.
Asien: Der Nikkei 225 gewann +0,8 %, angetrieben von Technologiewerten. Shanghai Composite blieb unverändert.

💰 Rohstoffe & Devisen

Gold: $2.355 je Unze, stabil vor US-Inflationsdaten.
Öl (Brent): $83,10 pro Barrel, schwächer wegen steigender US-Produktion.
Bitcoin: $67.800, leicht im Plus nach hohen ETF-Zuflüssen.
EUR/USD: 1,073 – USD/JPY: 151,2.

📊 Branchen

Technologie: Microsoft & Nvidia treiben den Markt.
Rüstung: Lockheed Martin & BAE Systems profitieren weiter.
Energie: Shell investiert $2,5 Mrd. in CO₂-Abscheidung.
Krypto: Ethereum bei $3.270 – Fokus auf Layer-2-Upgrades.

🌍 Makro-Trends

USA: Erwartete Inflation Oktober 3,3 % YoY.
Deutschland: Industrieproduktion -0,2 % – weiter Rezessionsangst.
China: Exporte -6,1 % im Jahresvergleich.

📈 Einschätzung von Bernd Pulch

„Hinter der scheinbaren Marktstabilität lauert die strukturelle Schwäche. Die Liquiditätsströme werden enger, die Schuldenberge wachsen. Das wahre Risiko liegt unter der Oberfläche.“

💎 Unterstütze Unabhängigen Journalismus

Dieses Digest ist Teil von „Investment: Das Original“ von Bernd Pulch.
👉 Für exklusive Analysen & geheime Dossiers:
patreon.com/investment

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INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST NOVEMBER 10/11 2025✌INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL 10./11. NOVEMBER 2025 FOUNDED IN 2000 ANNO DOMINI✌

INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST – NOVEMBER 10, 2025 ✌
FOUNDED IN 2000 AND STILL INDEPENDENT 🕶️

🌍 GLOBAL MARKETS SNAPSHOT

Global markets surged today as optimism rose over a possible end to the prolonged U.S. government shutdown, igniting a rally in equities and risk assets worldwide. The S&P 500 climbed 0.74%, Nasdaq 100 gained 1.27%, and European indices followed in late trading. In Asia, semiconductor and AI-related stocks continued to outperform, supported by new Chinese liquidity measures.

💰 CRYPTO & COMMODITIES

Bitcoin traded near $106,000 (+1.3%), while Ethereum advanced to $3,600 (+3%). Gold spiked to $4,100/oz, buoyed by renewed safe-haven demand, while oil steadied around $63.94/bbl (Brent) as traders weighed supply resilience against easing geopolitical risk.

Bond markets saw yields climb slightly, with the U.S. 10-year at 4.1%, reflecting rotation from safe assets to risk-on positions.

🧭 INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

Market analysts see a “reopening rotation” taking shape — investors moving out of defensive sectors and into technology, infrastructure, and renewable energy. Meanwhile, bond investors are shortening maturities amid rate uncertainty.

Crypto treasuries are shifting toward lesser-known tokens, increasing speculative flows and short-term volatility. Institutional adoption continues cautiously, with major banks testing tokenized bonds under European pilot frameworks.

📉 MACRO OUTLOOK

U.S. Shutdown Resolution: A provisional funding bill advanced in the Senate, suggesting a deal within days.
Inflation Outlook: October CPI data expected to show further disinflation across goods, but persistent service inflation.
European Energy Watch: Gas storage remains above 95%, yet power prices rise amid colder forecasts.

Analysts expect moderate Q4 growth with headline inflation below 3% in major OECD economies by year-end.

💡 BERND PULCH COMMENTARY

“Independence in reporting is not a luxury — it’s survival. While the financial mainstream chases narratives, we chase the numbers that matter.”

For over 25 years, Bernd Pulch and Investment – The Original have provided unfiltered intelligence and deep-market insights far beyond the financial headlines. Every edition is crafted without corporate sponsorship or algorithmic bias — fully reader-supported.

Join the independent movement and access exclusive premium briefings, intelligence digests, and early-release reports at
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🕰️ HISTORICAL NOTE

On November 10, 1982, the Dow Jones crossed 1,000 points for the first time after a decade of stagnation — marking the dawn of the modern bull-market era. A timely reminder: markets always climb the wall of worry.

INVESTMENT – THE ORIGINAL DIGEST SINCE 2000
Independent. Unfiltered. Ahead of the herd.

INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL DIGEST – 10. NOVEMBER 2025 ✌
GEGRÜNDET 2000 – NOCH IMMER UNABHÄNGIG 🕶️

🌍 WELTWEITE MÄRKTE

Die Aussicht auf ein baldiges Ende der US-Regierungsschließung sorgte am Montag für kräftige Kursgewinne. Der S&P 500 stieg um 0,74 %, der Nasdaq 100 um 1,27 %. Auch europäische und asiatische Märkte legten deutlich zu.

💰 KRYPTOS & ROHSTOFFE

Bitcoin lag bei rund 106.000 US-$, Ethereum bei 3.600 US-$. Gold verteuerte sich auf 4.100 US-$/oz, während Brent-Öl bei 63,94 US-$/Barrel notierte.

Die Rendite der zehnjährigen US-Staatsanleihe kletterte auf 4,1 %, da Anleger wieder stärker in Risikoanlagen umschichten.

🧭 MARKTEINSCHÄTZUNG

Analysten sprechen von einer beginnenden „Reopening-Rotation“ – Kapital fließt von defensiven Werten in Tech-, Infrastruktur- und Energietitel.
Auch im Kryptobereich mehren sich institutionelle Aktivitäten, während volatilere Altcoins zulegen.

💡 KOMMENTAR VON BERND PULCH

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INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST OCTOBER 21/22 2025✌INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL 21./22. OKTOBER 2025 FOUNDED IN 2000 ANNO DOMINI✌

INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST – OCTOBER 21, 2025 ✌
FOUNDED IN 2000 AND STILL INDEPENDENT 🕶️

🌍 GLOBAL MARKETS SNAPSHOT

Global markets entered the week walking a tightrope between optimism and unease. The S&P 500 rose modestly, powered by tech giants posting resilient quarterly results, while European equities lagged amid renewed inflation concerns and political headwinds in Berlin and Paris. Asian markets showed quiet strength, boosted by liquidity injections from the People’s Bank of China, aimed at rescuing debt-laden developers and supporting regional growth.

The sentiment among professional investors remains cautiously constructive, but traders note rising fragility in global liquidity and tightening credit spreads — signals that volatility could return suddenly, especially as the U.S. earnings season deepens and energy markets adjust to fluctuating Middle East tensions.

💵 CURRENCIES & COMMODITIES

The U.S. dollar slipped for a third consecutive session, reflecting a calmer interest-rate outlook. The euro strengthened to 1.0920, while the yen held steady near 147. Gold climbed to $2,462 per ounce — its highest level since 2023 — as central banks continued aggressive purchases. Oil fell below $86 as inventories rose and risk premiums receded.

Bitcoin traded near $64,000, with on-chain data suggesting a rotation from short-term speculators to long-term holders. Analysts interpret this as a preparatory phase before potential ETF-driven inflows later in Q4.

📈 FIXED INCOME

Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields hovered around 4.26%, a sign of relative calm after months of turbulence. German Bunds stayed at 2.38%, while UK Gilts continued to attract institutional flows seeking refuge from equity volatility. Bond traders now broadly price in the first Fed rate cut by mid-2026.

🧠 STRATEGIC INSIGHT

Markets are living in the “eye of the storm.” Inflation appears to be slowing, but credit stress is quietly building in small and mid-sized corporate sectors. Hedge funds are repositioning — reducing high-beta exposure and accumulating defensive energy and defense stocks.

Private capital is increasingly moving into AI infrastructure, sovereign data storage, and military robotics — areas expected to receive strong public funding through 2026. Analysts at major European banks caution: “The next tech bubble may not pop — it may militarize.”

🔍 TODAY’S ANALYTICS CORNER

Market Mood: Neutral to cautiously bullish (Sentiment Index: 59)
Hot Sectors: Semiconductors, Energy Transition, Cyber Defense
Cold Spots: Commercial Real Estate, ESG Funds, Consumer Credit
Macro Pulse: Global M2 liquidity up 1.3% MoM — a hidden support for equities

🕰️ FLASHBACK

On October 21, 1987, traders still reeled from Black Monday’s 22.6% plunge the day before — a cataclysm triggered by algorithmic panic and unchecked leverage. It remains a timeless lesson: systems built for speed can collapse in seconds.

🧭 OUTLOOK

Short term: Profit rotation likely to continue as investors rebalance portfolios.
Mid term: AI, infrastructure, and defense sectors lead the conviction list for Q4.
Long term: Liquidity will determine everything — those who track it will stay ahead of the herd.

📰 FROM BERNDPULCH.ORG

For 25 years, BerndPulch.org has delivered independent intelligence, unfiltered data, and fearless commentary — long before “alternative media” became a buzzword.
We are reader-supported, non-algorithmic, and non-aligned. No sponsors, no paywalls, no corporate influence — only facts, insight, and a dash of rebellion.

Stay informed, stay skeptical, stay independent.
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INVESTMENT – THE ORIGINAL DIGEST SINCE 2000
Independent. Unfiltered. Ahead of the herd.

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Support independent financial journalism — not the algorithm.

INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL DIGEST – 21. OKTOBER 2025 ✌
GEGRÜNDET IM JAHR 2000 UND NOCH IMMER UNABHÄNGIG 🕶️

🌍 WELTWEITE MÄRKTE IM ÜBERBLICK

Die globalen Börsen starteten mit gemischten Signalen in die Woche. Der S&P 500 legte leicht zu, getragen von starken Tech-Ergebnissen, während europäische Aktien wegen Energiepreisen und politischer Unsicherheit stagnierten. Asien zeigte sich robust – unterstützt durch neue Liquiditätsspritzen der chinesischen Zentralbank.

Anleger bleiben vorsichtig optimistisch, doch zunehmende Kreditrisiken und sinkende Margen könnten die Stimmung im vierten Quartal trüben. Viele Marktteilnehmer erwarten, dass die derzeitige Ruhe nur eine Atempause vor erneuter Volatilität ist.

💵 DEVISEN & ROHSTOFFE

Der US-Dollar schwächte sich weiter ab, der Euro festigte sich bei 1,09. Gold stieg auf 2.462 USD – getrieben durch Zentralbankkäufe. Ölpreise fielen unter 86 USD, da Lagerbestände zunahmen.
Bitcoin blieb stabil bei etwa 64.000 USD; die Daten zeigen zunehmende Langfristhalter.

📈 ANLEIHEN

Die Renditen zehnjähriger US-Staatsanleihen verharrten bei 4,26 %, auch deutsche Bunds blieben stabil bei 2,38 %. Anleiheinvestoren erwarten eine erste Zinssenkung der Fed bis Mitte 2026.

🧠 STRATEGISCHER EINBLICK

Der Markt befindet sich „im Auge des Sturms“: Inflation sinkt, aber Kreditrisiken steigen. Hedgefonds senken Risikoquoten und investieren verstärkt in Energie, Verteidigung und KI-Infrastruktur.
Private Investoren richten den Fokus auf Datenhoheit und militärische Robotik – Zukunftsmärkte mit geopolitischer Sprengkraft.

🔍 ANALYTIK-BEREICH

Stimmung: neutral bis leicht optimistisch (Index: 59)
Gewinner: Halbleiter, Energiewende, Cyberabwehr
Verlierer: Immobilien, ESG-Fonds, Konsumkredite
Makrotrend: Weltweite Geldmenge wächst weiter – heimlicher Stützpfeiler der Märkte

🕰️ RÜCKBLICK

Am 21. Oktober 1987 standen die Märkte noch unter Schock des „Black Monday“ – ein Absturz von 22,6 % an einem einzigen Tag. Die Lektion bleibt: Geschwindigkeit ersetzt keine Stabilität.

🧭 AUSBLICK

Kurzfristig: Sektorrotation und Gewinnmitnahmen.
Mittelfristig: KI, Infrastruktur und Verteidigung bleiben Favoriten.
Langfristig: Liquidität bleibt der entscheidende Faktor.

📰 VON BERNDPULCH.ORG

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📈 INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL — DAILY DIGEST (20 NOVEMBER)

1️⃣ MACRO & GEOPOLITICS

USA

EU / EUROZONE

ASIA

2️⃣ EQUITIES

US

EU

3️⃣ FIXED INCOME

4️⃣ REAL ASSETS & PROPERTY

Commercial Real Estate

Commodities

5️⃣ CRYPTO & DIGITAL ASSETS

6️⃣ CAPITAL FLOWS (HARD NUMBERS)

7️⃣ RISK RADAR

High Risks

Medium Risks

8️⃣ BERND PULCH / PATREON SECTION (SPECIAL)

🔐 Exclusive Insights for Patrons

For berndpulch.org readers:

🇩🇪 DEUTSCHE VERSION — INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL TAGESDIGEST (20. NOVEMBER)

📈 INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL — TAGESDIGEST (20. NOVEMBER)

1️⃣ MAKRO & GEOPOLITIK

USA

EUROZONE

ASIEN

2️⃣ AKTIEN

USA

EU

3️⃣ ANLEIHEN

4️⃣ IMMOBILIEN & ROHSTOFFE

Immobilien

Rohstoffe

5️⃣ KRYPTOMÄRKTE

6️⃣ KAPITALSTRÖME

7️⃣ RISIKORADAR

Hohe Risiken

Mittlere Risiken

8️⃣ BERND PULCH / PATREON-ABSCHNITT

🔐 Exklusiv für Patrons

Für berndpulch.org:

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INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL — DAILY DIGEST (NOV 18/19)

ENGLISH VERSION

⚡ MARKET OVERVIEW — GLOBAL RISK REPRICING INTENSIFIES

📉 INFLATION & MACRO SIGNALS

📊 SECTOR SNAPSHOT

🔥 SPECIAL ANALYSIS: “THE LIQUIDITY TRIANGLE”

💎 THE PATRON SECTION — EXCLUSIVE STRATEGY SIGNAL

📢 BERND PULCH NOTE — TODAY’S INSIGHT

🔚 END OF DIGEST — ENGLISH

INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL — TAGESDIGEST (18./19. NOVEMBER)

DEUTSCHE VERSION

⚡ MARKTÜBERBLICK — GLOBALE RISIKONEUBEWERTUNG

📉 INFLATION & MAKRODATEN

📊 SEKTORANALYSE

🔥 SPEZIALANALYSE: „DAS LIQUIDITÄTS-DREIECK“

💎 PATRON-BEREICH — EXKLUSIVER SIGNALBERICHT

📢 BERND-PULCH-HINWEIS — TAGESBEOBACHTUNG

🔚 ENDE DES DIGEST — DEUTSCH

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📈 Global Market Snapshot

💰 Commodities & Currencies

📊 Sector Highlights

🌍 Macro Focus

📈 Investment Insight by Bernd Pulch

🎯 Watchlist

🔒 Support Independent Analysis

🇩🇪 Investment Digest – 14. November 2025

📈 Globale Marktübersicht

💰 Rohstoffe & Devisen

📊 Branchenfokus

🌍 Makro-Trends

📈 Einschätzung von Bernd Pulch

🎯 Watchlist

💎 Unterstütze unabhängige Analyse